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Implement negative US carbon prices in the NPI2025 from 2030 on to represent fossil-friendly politics - #2418

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Implement negative US carbon prices in the NPI2025 from 2030 on to represent fossil-friendly politics#2418
fschreyer wants to merge 5 commits into
remindmodel:developfrom
fschreyer:NPi

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@fschreyer

@fschreyer fschreyer commented Jul 24, 2026

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Purpose of this PR

This addresses https://github.com/remindmodel/development_issues/issues/795.

It assumes a carbon price of -5$/tCo2 in the NPI2025 from 2030 onwards in the US reflecting current politics.

Fyi @tabeado, I needed to slightly amend the net-negative emissions tax to only take non-negative carbon prices as it would otherwise generate infinite subsidies via increasing v21_emiAllco2neg_slack.

Type of change

Indicate the items relevant for your PR by replacing ◻️ with ☑️.
Do not delete any lines. This makes it easier to understand which areas are affected by your changes and which are not.

Parts concerned

  • ☑️ GAMS Code
  • ◻️ R-scripts
  • ◻️ Documentation (GAMS incode documentation, comments, tutorials)
  • ◻️ Input data / CES parameters
  • ◻️ Tests, CI/CD (continuous integration/deployment)
  • ◻️ Configuration (switches in main.gms, default.cfg, and scenario_config*.csv files)
  • ◻️ Other (please give a description)

Impact

  • ◻️ Bug fix
  • ◻️ Refactoring
  • ◻️ New feature
  • ◻️ Change of parameter values or input data (including CES parameters)
  • ☑️ Minor change (default scenarios show only small differences)
  • ◻️ Fundamental change of results of default scenarios

Checklist

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In the end all checkboxes must be ticked before you can merge
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  • I executed the automated model tests (make test) after my final commit and all tests pass (FAIL 0)
  • I adjusted the reporting in remind2 if and where it was needed
  • I adjusted the madrat packages (mrremind and other packages involved) for input data generation if and where it was needed
  • My code follows the coding etiquette
  • I explained my changes within the PR, particularly in hard-to-understand areas
  • I checked that the in-code documentation is up-to-date
  • I adjusted forbiddenColumnNames in readCheckScenarioConfig.R in case the PR leads to deprecated switches
  • I updated the CHANGELOG.md correctly (added, changed, fixed, removed, input data/calibration)

Further information (optional)

  • Runs with these changes are here:
  • Comparison of results (what changes by this PR?):

/p/tmp/schreyer/Modeling/remind/Current/compScen-NPI_NegCO2Price_Calib_Def-2026-07-28_10.46.45-H12-to2050.pdf
/p/tmp/schreyer/Modeling/remind/Current/compScen-NPI_NegCO2Price_Calib_Def-2026-07-28_10.46.45-H12.pdf

Felix Schreyer added 3 commits July 21, 2026 11:11
@fschreyer
fschreyer requested review from RahelMA and lea-hayez July 24, 2026 13:04
@fschreyer
fschreyer marked this pull request as ready for review July 28, 2026 15:21
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